Download e-book for iPad: America's new swing region: changing politics and by Ruy Teixeira

By Ruy Teixeira

ISBN-10: 0815722869

ISBN-13: 9780815722861

The Mountain West —Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah —has develop into the recent swing area in American politics. All symptoms element to those states, particularly Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, being an important within the 2012 election. regrettably, the increase of this zone has been underreported within the media, and plenty of political observers have basically the main superficial realizing of the profound financial, political, and social adjustments that proceed to reshape the Mountain West. America's New Swing zone is the remedy.Led via bestselling writer and political analyst Ruy Teixeira, a skilled team of students assembled by means of the Brookings Mountain West software (housed on the collage of Nevada–Las Vegas) provides the evidence and the narrative beneficial for knowing what's taking place during this area and why it's so important.Contents 1. advent and Overview2. America's New Swing quarter: The Political Demography and Geography of the Mountain West3. Metropolitan vote casting styles within the Mountain West: the recent and outdated Political Heartlands4. Hispanics, Race, and the altering Political panorama of the USA Mountain West5. The Political Attitudes of the Millennial iteration within the Mountain West6. The Mountain West this present day: A nearby Survey7. Reapportionment and Redistricting within the Mountain WestContributors comprise Karlyn Bowman (American company Institute), David Damore(University of Nevada–Las Vegas (UNLV), William Frey (Brookings Institution), Scott Keeter (Pew examine Center), Robert E. Lang (Brookings, UNLV, and the Lincy Institute), Tom Sanchez (Virginia Tech University), and Ruy Teixeira (Century origin and the heart for American Progress).

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Idaho has been one of the most Republican-leaning states in the recent history of presidential elections. Only once since 1952 did the state vote for a Democratic candidate—Lyndon Johnson in 1964—and John McCain’s margin over Barack Obama in 2008 was 62 percent to 36 percent. indd 36 1/24/12 5:38 PM America’s New Swing Region 37 Table D-1. S. decennial censuses. residents from the West Coast, who could have some impact on politics in parts of the state. Regions of Idaho The analysis presented here is based on the following regions, designated in map D-1, and on the population and growth statistics shown in map D-2 and table D-1.

CountyPresidential Presidential Voting Change, 1988-2008 Colorado County Voting Change, 1988–2008 Map C-5. Colorado NORTH AND WEST BOULDER DENVER DENVER OUTER SUBURBS DENVER INNER SUBURBS DENVER OUTER SUBURBS EAST COLORADO SPRINGS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST Republican Margin Increase 10%+ Republican Margin Increase up to 10% Democrat Margin Increase up to 10% Democrat Margin Increase 10%+ Source: Authors' calculations of election data Source: Authors’ calculations based on election data. indd 5 1/30/12 3:52 PM PHOENIX Map D-1.

But the East represents only 5 percent of the Colorado vote. All other regions of Colorado moved toward the Democrats over the same time period. For example, in the North and West region, which accounts for 20 percent of the statewide vote, Republican gains in the far west of the state, including in the Grand Junction metro area (Mesa County), were more than counterbalanced by Democratic gains in the southwest corner and, importantly, by strong gains in the Fort Collins metro area (15 points) and a modest gain in the conservative Greeley metro area (4 points), the thirdand fourth-largest metro areas in the state respectively.

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America's new swing region: changing politics and demographics in the Mountain West by Ruy Teixeira

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